Following the US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding: An Alternative Assessment
Iranian victory or strategic illusion? This study challenges the dominant narrative, reassessing the US–Iran agreement and the evolving balance of power with Israel.
Category: Monographies
Published based on the importance of an ongoing subject. Published every six months. Entailing operational capacity and policy recommendations.
Political Violence in the Age of Polarization and Democratic Fragility
Political violence is no longer confined to terrorism or insurgencies. This new monograph explores how polarization, extremism, digital radicalization, and declining institutional trust are reshaping democratic societies, offering a comprehensive analysis of one of the defining security challenges of the...
Radicalization Processes Among Muslim Communities in Europe – Causes, Characteristics, the Palestinian Dimension, and the Impact of October 7 on Emerging Trends
A timely analysis of Islamist radicalization in Europe, examining its causes, evolving security challenges, and the lasting impact of October 7, 2023.
Operation Epic Fury: A Multi-Domain Foresight Assessment
Could a regional conflict reshape the global order? This study explores Operation Epic Fury and its strategic implications for Gulf security and stability.
The Interdependence of European Diplomatic Unity and Military Credibility
Can Europe remain a peace project while rebuilding military power? This study explores the balance between deterrence, diplomacy, and strategic credibility.
Fragmented States, Territorial Integrity, and the Limits of Stability in the Arab World
This monograph examines state failure, territorial integrity, and political restructuring in the Arab world, exploring governance, self-determination, and regional stability challenges.
The Thucydides Trap and the New Global Order
Drawing on the Thucydides Trap, this study explores the intensifying U.S.-China rivalry, focusing on technological competition, maritime security, economic fragmentation, and the risks of strategic miscalculation shaping an increasingly unstable international order.
Spectral Warfare: The Evolution of Modern Conflict and the Operational Model of Multi-Domain Integration
Modern warfare has evolved into integrated multi-domain conflict, where military, cyber, informational, and political instruments operate simultaneously within a unified strategic framework.
Strategic Silence: China’s Geopolitical Calculus During the U.S. – Iran Escalation
China’s restrained response reflects a deliberate strategy of indirect balancing, prioritising geo-economic influence and long-term structural advantage over immediate geopolitical confrontation.
Artificial Intelligence and Intelligence Analysis
Artificial intelligence is transforming intelligence analysis by enabling rapid processing of massive datasets, augmenting human analysts while raising critical questions about reliability, governance, and ethical oversight.
