Conflicts are raging across various places in our world. The latest is in Sudan. And Sudan’s case, although not a new one, as a process of conflict, it seems to be just starting. And we wonder, is this conflict a new series of possible other disputes in various parts of the world? Do we live in such a volatile environment? If so, where? What are the reasons? Purpose and objectives? Sudan’s possibility of civil war is unfolding. It may also be considered a diversion to the ongoing illegal invasion of Russia into Ukraine. Both trade and security showcase that the current war raging since 2022 openly impacts other regions worldwide. And how not to impact!
Mainly areas of ‘old-timers’ competition: The competition between the West and the East. And it seems to be across our world. So, are we looking at a new Iron Curtain being unfolded? Are we drawing new boundaries of West versus East? Considering such questions, various individuals or expert institutions, research centers, universities and centers of research, consulting firms, and market risk analysis centers, among others, may anticipate possible regions of conflict where conflict can be ignited. And the reasons behind it. Constant risk assessments may attest to results that will. And in fact, it can help send a message to decision-makers, leaders, and potential investors about whether and what we should anticipate. Yet one thing may be wrong in our analysis and judgment, which is essential. We may not have considered changing our variables that consider risk assessments. As a result, these variables may no longer be able to help us feel risk assessments and provide accuracy of information.
New variables are coming into existence. And new assumptions as well. We now believe that we live in a secure-unsecure world where volatility is actual. While it is a certainty that we live in crucial times.
Still, we keep ‘hiding’ that our primary resources are becoming scarce. Those that hold the majority fluctuate prices. Prices generation or regeneration create and keeps demands high. But also bring prices high, impacting households in all ways possible. It also brings inflation to a state that trades and trades strong in a globalized world.
The climate is changing. And while some may object to this. Climate changes are noticeable. Artificial or non-man made. Therefore, the range of possible destruction that climate change may create increases.
We live in a digitized and well-connected world. And maybe few of us have realized that a virtual world, somehow among other good things, makes us feel ‘comfortable’ in a world that provides so many things and fast that we tend to forget the most important thing. That these events are actual. They do happen, and people do suffer.
We are now “trained” in a digital ecosystem when we see and envision destruction or genuine concern. We are well acquainted with not to fear. At the same time, for some reason, not anticipating the level of destruction of that conflict, war, and other torn-like artificially made or non-artificially made circumstances can do. And for some reason, ‘we rest assured’ through the world media or social media platforms that may analyze cases that while things happen and happen strongly, they may not happen to us. When examining stuff, we tend to ‘analyze’ them according to our empirical knowledge and somehow our own experiences, needs, and interests. More so, when one state represents another, and this is precisely where things go wrong. We may have forgotten the path to dialogue and actual co-existence.
In the name of co-existence, we are now made up to make calls about the future of a society that, on the one hand, inclusive security of choices and gender and equality is at hand and, on another, a magnet of ‘old-time traditions.’ And we need to make choices.
All of the above are disruptive methods. They are methods that create more insecurity-security in a world requiring us to choose. And upon these choices, we feel confident that we are in the right world and in the right split of a new Iron Curtain that is fought between sides that the work is “unfinished.” And we are called upon as scientists and experts to advise, tailor and make people, companies, and governments comprehend the depth of choices we call risk.
The biggest challenge is to bring a balance. A balance on things that may not exist at this point. It is not the philosophy of things nor the psychology of things. It is the lack of real vision—the lack of leadership. In contrast, we call a point in time that looks more steady than other places a secure world.
